Elizabeth School District
Facilities Master Plan
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Welcome Page Process Overview Research & Investigation Master Plan Implementation |
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Research & Investigation
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Demographic ResearchWestern Demographics was hired to provide a demographics chapter and enrollment forecast for the Elizabeth School District (ESD) masterplan. Western Demographics has extensive experience providing these services in Colorado and throughout the west. Below are Western Demographics findings. FindingsInterest rates and rising housing costs have created volatility in enrollment growth all over Colorado and elsewhere in the West. Although Elizabeth School District includes many large land developments that have been negatively impacted by interest rates, increasing birth rates and built-in growth in the form of larger numbers of preschool children will increase elementary enrollment soon and augment growth expected from new housing. New housing effects on school enrollments have been forecast based on the best thinking regarding future growth and an assumption that interest rates will normalize to rates that can be afforded by young families in 2024. If rates return to something relatively close to “normal”, the medium enrollment forecast basis shown in this report can be expected. If rates remain high, the low basis can be expected. Below are the enrollment forecast for Elizabeth School District through the year 2031.
ConclusionsElementary school enrollments at Running Creek and Singing Hills elementaries will increase as a result of elevated birth rates and continuing housing growth. The increase will exceed school capacities by the 2026-27 school year if interest rates moderate in 2024 and later than that if interest rates remain high. Middle school enrollment will increase but will remain within the current middle school facility capacity. High school enrollments will remain stable due to large grades exiting the system and neighborhood aging in some mature areas. Below is a chart that shows the program and functional capacity of each school and how it relates to the projected growth outlined above.
Other observations and school impacts are detailed in the complete demographics report that can be found at the link below. Download Full Demographic Report District Facility Summary The chart above is included in the master plan to allow for quick comparison of campuses across the District. It includes physical site and building size along with general configuration information and CDE assessment information. The Colorado Department of Education (CDE) assessment information includes the Facility Condition Index (FCI) score for each of the facilities. This allows quick review and comparison of the condition of the facilities across the District.
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Identified Facility NeedsIt is imperative to the master capital planning process that the condition of the existing district facilities is accurately assessed and objectively quantified. The following steps were taken to accurately assess and quantify the condition of the existing facilities. • Review facility condition information Below is an overall pie chart that consolidates this information and creates a comparison of overall deficiency categories, and overall district-wide deferred maintenance by facility. |
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The following links provide a more detailed description of the Assessment Process and Matrix Scoring System, as well as an Assessment Data Summary that includes all District Facilities and costs for the deficiency categories listed above. Assessment Matrix Scoring System
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Singing Hills Elementary School Findings
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Running Creek Elementary School Findings
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Elizabeth Middle School Findings
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Elizabeth High School Findings
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| Thank you for taking the time to review and consider the Master Planning Process. Feel free to share your thoughts by email with us at: email@elizabethschooldistrict.org |
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